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Profiting From Bitcoin’s NY Open Short Pattern — Analysis

btc price prediction
Image: TheDigitalArtist / Pixabay

For the past two months, Bitcoin (BTC) has moved in a surprisingly repeatable weekly cycle that traders could have exploited almost mechanically. If you had simply shorted the New York open every week, ignoring the noise and the FOMO, this setup would have worked out in your favor eight out of nine times.

That consistency is rare, especially in a market known for its randomness, but the statistics do not lie.​

What Makes This Pattern So Exploitable

A typical week starts with a rally during the more illiquid weekend sessions, often on Saturday, but especially into Sunday, pushing Bitcoin into new local highs as retail and weekend momentum traders chase pumps.

By the time Monday rolls around, the high is often set, especially during the London and early New York trading hours, and institutions start unwinding those weekend moves. The result — BTC slides after the Monday session gets underway, frequently accelerating toward Tuesday.

Tuesday is when the real opportunity emerges, as Bitcoin prints its weekly low, either through one final selloff or a protracted bottoming formation. If, for some reason, price instead rises on Tuesday, it’s typically just a pause before further downside resumes later in the week.

Thus, the playbook is simple for those watching the clock: sell into strength as the Monday high forms (especially during London/NY pivots), and look for a bottom or at least a covering opportunity by Tuesday’s end.

Suggested Setup

  • Entry: 86,000–88,000
  • Stop Loss: 90,000
  • Take Profit: 78,000
  • RR: 2
Source: TradingView

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Disclaimer: The content presented herein is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, no guarantees are made regarding its completeness, reliability or suitability for any particular purpose. Financial markets carry inherent risks, and historical trends do not ensure future outcomes. Before making any financial decisions, we strongly advise seeking guidance from a qualified professional. The authors and publishers disclaim any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.